I'll quote the chapter (pages 35-36) and leave my commentary until the end. I think you'll see EXACTLY what he's talking about. happening in the "rooms".
"A mere smoke screen, the it'll-get-worse-before-it-gets-better fallacy is a variant of the so- called confirmation bias. If the problem continues to worsen, the prediction is confirmed. if the situation improves unexpectedly, the customer is happy, and the expert can attribute it to his prowess. Either way he wins.
Suppose you are president of a country and have no idea how to run it. What do you do? You predict "difficult years" ahead, ask your citizens to "tighten their belts," and then promise to improve the situation only after this "delicate stage" of "cleansing," "purification," and "restructuring." Naturally you leave the duration and severity of the period open.
The best evidence of this strategy's success is the religious zealot who believes that before we can experience heaven on earth, the world must be destroyed. Disasters, floods, fires, death-they are all part of the larger plan and must take place. These believers will view any deterioration of the situation as confirmation of the prophecy and any improvement as a gift for God.
In conclusion, if someone says, "It'll get worse before it gets better," you should hear alarm bells ringing. But beware: Situations do exist where things first dip, then improve. for example, a career change requires time and often incorporates loss of pay. the reorganization of a business also takes time. But in all these cases, we cans see relatively quickly if the measures are working. The milestones are clear and verifiable. Look to these rather than to the heavens."
OMG, this EXACTLY what AA does. If you succeed it's because you "kept coming back" and surrendered to your "higher power". If you fail, it's because of your "character defects" and due to the fact that you couldn't get with the "program".
How about the fact that there are usually hurdles and obstacles endured while trying to overcome a dependency issue and whether is gets worse before it gets better or the other way around, is due to YOUR efforts and not because it's determined by "how you work it" or God's will!